← Wallets
+$6,882Yes · avg 48¢ → 75¢ · $19.4k+$496Yes · avg 26¢ → 31¢ · $3,325−$53No · avg 93.7¢ → 90.5¢ · $1,508−$1,139Yes · avg 40¢ → 20¢ · $1,068+$381Yes · avg 40¢ → 70¢ · $880−$319Yes · avg 35¢ → 24¢ · $715−$7,260Yes · avg 41¢ → 2.6¢ · $492+$323No · avg 28¢ → 84¢ · $482
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -51.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-51.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$444.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$150.9k
Last 30 days −$25.5k · $11.13M volume · 4,157 trades · since Jul 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$468.2k
Open P&L · 41 positions
−$30.6k
Closed-position win rate
88%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
462d
546 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -51.3 pts |
History
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