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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +32.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+32.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$145.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$15.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $299.2k volume · 68 trades · since May 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$45.7k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$60.7k
Closed-position win rate
72%
32 closed
Wallet age · markets
168d
39 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +32.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Spurs @ 95¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 54¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 77¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 65¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 68¢ | $30.7k | called |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Spurs @ 69¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Thunder @ 82¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x8ba6e1cea1f7d766c4d7588ecb017b8e5cb7ae0c"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x8ba6e1cea1f7d766c4d7588ecb017b8e5cb7ae0c.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8ba6e1…