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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -58.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-58.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$226.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$191.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.13M volume · 4,628 trades · since Apr 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$690.4k
Open P&L · 93 positions
−$830.5k
Closed-position win rate
95%
125 closed
Wallet age · markets
192d
216 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -58.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds | MED SELL Atlanta Braves @ 69¢ | $36.3k | excluded |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 54¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
 Hornets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Hornets @ 58¢ | $44.4k | missed |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Clippers @ 67¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Magic vs. 76ers | LOW SELL 76ers @ 99.9¢ | $63.1k | excluded |
| Magic vs. 76ers | LOW BUY 76ers @ 53¢ | $33.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8a6764…