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Satanishippie

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +42.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)+$38BetBoom Team · avg 50¢ → 50¢ · $3,373
Price-adjusted edge
+42.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$61.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$201.9k
Last 30 days −$131.6k · $3.05M volume · 1,123 trades · since Mar 08, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 425 closed
+$388.7k
Open P&L · 268 positions
−$515.0k
Closed-position win rate
77%
425 closed
Wallet age · markets
230d
737 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports110.6+42.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Counter-Strike: PRIVATE vs fnatic - Map 2 WinnerLOW SELL PRIVATE @ 99.9¢ $17.9k0% 2d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Falcons @ 74¢ $30.0k74% 6d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageLOW BUY Team Falcons @ 58¢ $13.4k58% 17d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x89eb83…