← Wallets
+$864No · avg 75¢ → 98¢ · $3,664+$1,001No · avg 56¢ → 96¢ · $2,401+$203No · avg 82¢ → 99¢ · $1,203+$97No · avg 70¢ → 90.5¢ · $430+$4No · avg 93¢ → 94¢ · $404+$3No · avg 96.1¢ → 97.7¢ · $213+$59No · avg 71¢ → 98.2¢ · $212+$2No · avg 97.6¢ → 98.7¢ · $152
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +25.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+25.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$25.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±43.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$6,501
Last 30 days +$3,636 · $670.5k volume · 1,442 trades · since Apr 11, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$26.0k
Open P&L · 80 positions
−$14.4k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
196d
863 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +25.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | MED BUY Islam Makhachev @ 75¢ | $25.4k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x81a6b3…