← Wallets
+$155No · avg 75¢ → 76¢ · $19.8k+$6,530No · avg 48¢ → 72¢ · $19.5k · 1 proven with, 2 against−$13.5kYes · avg 51¢ → 28¢ · $15.8k · 2 proven with, 1 against+$145Yes · avg 76¢ → 76¢ · $11.9k+$14Parma Calcio 1913 · avg 58¢ → 58¢ · $10.4k · 1 proven with, 1 against+$1,642Tottenham Hotspur FC · avg 69¢ → 95.5¢ · $5,965+$2,102No · avg 33¢ → 52¢ · $5,606 · 0 proven with, 1 against−$819No · avg 61¢ → 54¢ · $5,602
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.8 wins, so it did +30.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+30.0 pts
Called / graded
4/4
Expected from price
2.8
Flagged volume
$259.0k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1.25M
Last 30 days −$27.3k · $141.04M volume · 802,334 trades · since Jan 07, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$12.16M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$8.46M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
290d
43877 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 4 | 2.8 | +30.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $13.9k | called | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $30.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $24.8k | called | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $49.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $13.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Seahawks @ 50¢ | $32.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Seahawks @ 68¢ | $13.6k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Seahawks @ 68¢ | $66.9k 2.7× usual |
called | |
| LOW BUY Seahawks @ 51¢ | $13.5k | called |
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