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Cannae

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.8 wins, so it did +30.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+30.0 pts
Called / graded
4/4
Expected from price
2.8
Flagged volume
$259.0k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1.25M
Last 30 days −$27.3k · $141.04M volume · 802,334 trades · since Jan 07, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$12.16M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$8.46M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
290d
43877 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports442.8+30.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21?LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $13.9k91% 3d agocalled
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?MED BUY Yes @ 38¢ $30.6k38% 147d agoexcluded
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $24.8k70% 178d agocalled
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ $49.6k53% 198d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ $13.5k56% 238d agoexcluded
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)MED BUY Seahawks @ 50¢ $32.4k50% 257d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLOW BUY Seahawks @ 68¢ $13.6k68% 257d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. PatriotsMED BUY Seahawks @ 68¢ $66.9k
2.7× usual
68% 257d agocalled
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)LOW BUY Seahawks @ 51¢ $13.5k51% 257d agocalled

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