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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +35.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+35.7 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$249.3k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$434.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.85M volume · 1,944 trades · since Jul 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$434.7k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
40%
5 closed
Wallet age · markets
108d
5 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 0.9 | +35.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| HIGH BUY No @ 58¢ | $90.2k | called | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 16¢ | $13.4k | missed | |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $145.8k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7a0219…