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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +23.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+23.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$110.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±42.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$4,134
Last 30 days +$0 · $326.7k volume · 21 trades · since Mar 04, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$4,721
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$584
Closed-position win rate
67%
3 closed
Wallet age · markets
234d
4 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +23.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | HIGH BUY Islam Makhachev @ 77¢ | $110.1k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x77da7f…