← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -96.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-96.9 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$10.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$25.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $464.4k volume · 1,178 trades · since Feb 10, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$40.5k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$429
Closed-position win rate
68%
282 closed
Wallet age · markets
257d
412 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -96.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $10.8k | missed |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x757fe3208f5fbe42d8201d9a57e151e901b1311d"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x757fe3208f5fbe42d8201d9a57e151e901b1311d.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x757fe3…