← Wallets
−$101Yes · avg 28¢ → 6.5¢ · $31
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.2 wins, so it did -38.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-38.7 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
2.2
Flagged volume
$47.7k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$32.8k
Last 30 days −$9 · $119.5k volume · 38 trades · since Oct 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$9,998
Open P&L · 18 positions
−$42.3k
Closed-position win rate
100%
15 closed
Wallet age · markets
380d
33 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.2 | -61.0 pts |
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +6.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 54¢ | $23.5k | missed |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 68¢ | $10.7k | missed |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $13.5k | called |
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