Sharky6999

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +11.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$236.0kNo · avg 50¢ → 80¢ · $636.0k Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$236.0kYes · avg 50¢ → 20¢ · $164.0k Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?+$1,445No · avg 83¢ → 95.5¢ · $10.8k Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?+$182No · avg 86¢ → 88¢ · $8,174 Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?+$129No · avg 96.7¢ → 98.9¢ · $5,673 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?−$401No · avg 66¢ → 54¢ · $1,715 Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?+$50No · avg 93.5¢ → 96.8¢ · $1,452 Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?+$84No · avg 88¢ → 96.8¢ · $982

Price-adjusted edge

+11.8 pts

Called / graded

2/2

Expected from price

1.8

Flagged volume

$303.6k

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.8 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$945.2k

Last 30 days −$35.2k · $253.71M volume · 406,475 trades · since Jan 07, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$1.13M

Open P&L · 17 positions

+$1,149

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

655d

35005 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Crypto	2	2	1.8	+11.8 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$15.0k	0%	130d ago	excluded
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	LOW SELL Sean Strickland @ 99.9¢	$25.7k	0%	167d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?	LOW BUY No @ 87¢	$15.8k	87%	260d ago	called
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?	MED BUY No @ 89¢	$47.3k	89%	260d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$199.8k 7.8× usual	100%	353d ago	excluded

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$15.0k

LOW Sharky6999 · 130d ago

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)excluded

SELL Sean Strickland @ 99.9¢$25.7k

LOW Sharky6999 · 167d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?called

BUY No @ 87¢$15.8k

LOW Sharky6999 · 260d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?called

BUY No @ 89¢$47.3k

MED Sharky6999 · 260d ago

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$199.8k

LOW Sharky6999 · 353d ago

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