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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +41.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+41.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$58.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$20.2k
Last 30 days +$20.3k · $468.5k volume · 287 trades · since Oct 21, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$20.2k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
86%
7 closed
Wallet age · markets
3d
7 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +41.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Nuggets vs. Thunder | MED BUY Thunder @ 74¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers | MED BUY 76ers @ 59¢ | $18.3k | called |
| Pacers vs. Pelicans | MED SELL Pacers @ 89¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Pacers vs. Pelicans | MED BUY Pacers @ 58¢ | $10.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7138a9…