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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +11.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+11.7 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$78.1k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$25.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.39M volume · 507 trades · since Nov 22, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$16.5k
Open P&L · 31 positions
−$9,330
Closed-position win rate
61%
93 closed
Wallet age · markets
336d
117 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 1 | 0.9 | +5.6 pts |
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +24.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Tennessee Volunteers @ 24¢ | $12.5k | called | |
| LOW SELL No @ 69¢ | $12.8k | missed | |
| LOW SELL No @ 42¢ | $32.4k 2.6× usual |
called | |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $10.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $10.1k | called |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x6702ea47742277175210ccbc40418ddaf8392539"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x6702ea47742277175210ccbc40418ddaf8392539.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6702ea…