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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +5.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+5.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$54.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1,075
Last 30 days +$0 · $33.79M volume · 69,923 trades · since May 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$81.5k
Open P&L · 56 positions
−$1,362
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
541d
1869 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 0.9 | +5.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Nets vs. Clippers | LOW SELL Clippers @ 76¢ | $15.2k | missed |
 Rams vs. Seahawks | LOW SELL Rams @ 44¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | LOW BUY Rams @ 44¢ | $13.2k | missed |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Patriots @ 66¢ | $11.3k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x64b537…