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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +19.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+19.6 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$1.10M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$172.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.24M volume · 226 trades · since Nov 05, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$172.3k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
80%
162 closed
Wallet age · markets
718d
153 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | +19.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Lakers vs. Rockets | MED BUY Lakers @ 82¢ | $76.2k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | MED BUY Timberwolves @ 84¢ | $64.3k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Magic vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 98.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | MED BUY Lakers @ 90¢ | $47.2k | excluded |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | LOW SELL Lakers @ 41¢ | $60.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 53¢ | $77.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Spurs @ 64¢ | $80.1k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 73¢ | $90.6k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | MED SELL Celtics @ 65¢ | $71.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | MED BUY Celtics @ 90.7¢ | $99.4k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 72¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 84¢ | $24.8k | excluded |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 65¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 98¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Magic @ 99¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Hornets @ 60¢ | $22.6k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Warriors @ 92¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Magic vs. 76ers | LOW BUY 76ers @ 95¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 79¢ | $29.6k | excluded |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | LOW BUY Celtics @ 97.8¢ | $24.1k | excluded |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 98.6¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 68¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 86¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 91¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Pelicans vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 77¢ | $30.0k | called |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 84¢ | $40.0k | called |
| Cavaliers vs. Nets | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 87¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x623390…