6516532f

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did +60.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+60.3 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.4

Flagged volume

$59.1k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.9 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$120.3k

Last 30 days +$121.8k · $198.0k volume · 4 trades · since Oct 22, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$120.3k

Open P&L · 0 positions

+$0

Closed-position win rate

100%

1 closed

Wallet age · markets

1 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	1	0.4	+60.3 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5	HIGH BUY Under @ 40¢	$59.1k	40%	1d ago	called

Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5called

BUY Under @ 40¢$59.1k

HIGH New wallet 6516532f · 1d ago

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