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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -12.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-12.7 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$231.2k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$757.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $15.06M volume · 13,247 trades · since Apr 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$2.84M
Open P&L · 125 positions
−$3.59M
Closed-position win rate
94%
103 closed
Wallet age · markets
190d
223 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 1.4 | -12.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
 Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 36¢ | $30.1k | missed |
 Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs | LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 72¢ | $57.7k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A | LOW BUY paiN @ 38¢ | $23.3k | missed |
 Sabres vs. Canadiens | LOW BUY Canadiens @ 60¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Bruins vs. Sabres | LOW BUY Bruins @ 39¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | LOW BUY Oilers @ 64¢ | $39.4k | called |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Hornets @ 58¢ | $28.3k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x47a83f…