← Wallets
+$319Yes · avg 5.5¢ → 12¢ · $607
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -7.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-7.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$48.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$14.0k
Last 30 days +$947 · $598.8k volume · 62 trades · since Apr 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$118.8k
Open P&L · 14 positions
−$130.3k
Closed-position win rate
93%
15 closed
Wallet age · markets
199d
29 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -7.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 61¢ | $14.2k | called |
 Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 53¢ | $11.9k | missed |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
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