← Wallets
+$138Yes · avg 64¢ → 68¢ · $2,665 · 1 proven with, 0 against+$73No · avg 72¢ → 76¢ · $1,570+$193Yes · avg 59¢ → 73¢ · $968−$5Yes · avg 60¢ → 60¢ · $595−$2No · avg 82¢ → 82¢ · $542−$3Vikings · avg 72¢ → 72¢ · $496
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +22.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+22.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$99.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±41.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$42.0k
Last 30 days −$13.6k · $635.9k volume · 415 trades · since Dec 18, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$42.1k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$6
Closed-position win rate
58%
125 closed
Wallet age · markets
310d
121 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +22.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cavaliers vs. Nets | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 83¢ | $52.7k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 78¢ | $46.7k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x419be4…