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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -10.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-10.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$75.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$979.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $5.93M volume · 7,357 trades · since Apr 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.72M
Open P&L · 39 positions
−$744.3k
Closed-position win rate
65%
104 closed
Wallet age · markets
199d
129 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.2 | -10.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | LOW BUY No @ 59¢ | $34.5k | called |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | LOW BUY No @ 61¢ | $40.7k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3de454…