← Wallets
−$993Yes · avg 12¢ → 2.4¢ · $234
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -45.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-45.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$26.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$22.7k
Last 30 days −$25 · $3.74M volume · 437 trades · since Mar 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$3,413
Open P&L · 43 positions
−$32.4k
Closed-position win rate
52%
21 closed
Wallet age · markets
223d
59 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -45.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | MED SELL Yes @ 55¢ | $26.7k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x39fb70…