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0x3340…4805

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -53.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?+$1No · avg 92.4¢ → 97¢ · $28
Price-adjusted edge
-53.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$11.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$10.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $26.5k volume · 123 trades · since Jan 28, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$10.1k
Open P&L · 2 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
50%
115 closed
Wallet age · markets
269d
117 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports100.5-53.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)LOW BUY Rockets @ 53¢ $11.9k53% 255d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x334086…