zzzzsubul

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -40.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-40.1 pts

Called / graded

0/2

Expected from price

0.8

Flagged volume

$528.6k

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.5 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$336.1k

Last 30 days +$0 · $3.20M volume · 759 trades · since Apr 03, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$42.4k

Open P&L · 22 positions

−$264.9k

Closed-position win rate

78%

36 closed

Wallet age · markets

569d

56 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	2	0	0.8	-40.1 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢	$97.3k	57%	104d ago	missed
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW BUY Norway @ 42¢	$25.2k	42%	104d ago	excluded
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	MED BUY Yes @ 23¢	$46.0k	23%	106d ago	missed
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	LOW SELL Yes @ 30¢	$15.0k	70%	116d ago	excluded
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	MED BUY Yes @ 58¢	$52.0k	58%	117d ago	called
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	LOW SELL Yes @ 21¢	$10.5k	79%	117d ago	excluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢	$49.3k	58%	118d ago	called
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	MED SELL Yes @ 32¢	$52.8k	68%	124d ago	excluded
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	MED BUY Yes @ 60¢	$111.0k 2.2× usual	60%	124d ago	excluded
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢	$69.5k	71%	124d ago	excluded

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?missed

BUY Yes @ 57¢$97.3k

LOW zzzzsubul · 104d ago

Norway vs. England: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Norway @ 42¢$25.2k

LOW zzzzsubul · 104d ago

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?missed

BUY Yes @ 23¢$46.0k

MED zzzzsubul · 106d ago

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?excluded

SELL Yes @ 30¢$15.0k

LOW zzzzsubul · 116d ago

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?called

BUY Yes @ 58¢$52.0k

MED zzzzsubul · 117d ago

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?excluded

SELL Yes @ 21¢$10.5k

LOW zzzzsubul · 117d ago

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?called

BUY Yes @ 58¢$49.3k

LOW zzzzsubul · 118d ago

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?excluded

SELL Yes @ 32¢$52.8k

MED zzzzsubul · 124d ago

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?excluded

BUY Yes @ 60¢$111.0k

MED zzzzsubul · 124d ago

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?excluded

BUY Yes @ 71¢$69.5k

LOW zzzzsubul · 124d ago

Share this record

<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x30ec0e2e91d4b02c594a2d1decd8768374ba21a0"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x30ec0e2e91d4b02c594a2d1decd8768374ba21a0.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x30ec0e…