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noway8

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +23.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+23.7 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$290.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±42.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$83.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $388.1k volume · 4 trades · since Aug 15, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$86.8k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$3,059
Closed-position win rate
100%
1 closed
Wallet age · markets
70d
3 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports110.8+23.7 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)HIGH BUY Islam Makhachev @ 76¢ $290.0k76% 70d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2f3c7c…