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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -6.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-6.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$72.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$403.3k
Last 30 days +$171 · $4.23M volume · 2,414 trades · since Jan 23, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.06M
Open P&L · 33 positions
−$655.3k
Closed-position win rate
95%
39 closed
Wallet age · markets
275d
72 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -6.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY No @ 56¢ | $46.2k | missed |
 Rockets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Rockets @ 57¢ | $26.4k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2e69bb…