memeking

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.0 wins, so it did -3.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$592No · avg 46¢ → 34¢ · $1,775

Price-adjusted edge

-3.3 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$23.8k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.9 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$14.8k

Last 30 days −$257 · $287.3k volume · 173 trades · since Aug 04, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$7,431

Open P&L · 10 positions

−$7,384

Closed-position win rate

60%

5 closed

Wallet age · markets

1177d

14 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Other	1	0	0.0	-3.3 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	LOW SELL Yes @ 96.7¢	$23.8k	3%	237d ago	missed

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?missed

SELL Yes @ 96.7¢$23.8k

LOW memeking · 237d ago

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2b8273…