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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +3.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+3.7 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$121.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±13.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$5,493
Last 30 days +$0 · $153.3k volume · 49 trades · since Oct 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$6,625
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$1,128
Closed-position win rate
89%
9 closed
Wallet age · markets
362d
15 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.9 | +3.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $70.0k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 96.3¢ | $37.4k | called |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 96.2¢ | $14.4k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2872dd…