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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -13.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-13.5 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$89.4k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$7,529
Last 30 days −$490 · $10.21M volume · 4,810 trades · since Oct 18, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$5,995
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$1,464
Closed-position win rate
59%
293 closed
Wallet age · markets
371d
280 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | -9.7 pts |
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -21.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL No @ 84¢ | $23.4k | missed |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $25.6k | excluded |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $19.1k | missed |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL No @ 96.9¢ | $21.3k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x233687…