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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did -20.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-20.6 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$75.6k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$34.4k
Last 30 days +$15.6k · $4.17M volume · 9,135 trades · since Jan 05, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$79.4k
Open P&L · 10 positions
−$113.3k
Closed-position win rate
49%
234 closed
Wallet age · markets
292d
233 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 1.6 | -20.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14? | LOW BUY No @ 35¢ | $12.2k | missed |
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $14.6k | missed |
 Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 60¢ | $23.7k | called |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x209b7a…