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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -37.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-37.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$331.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$213.4k
Last 30 days −$32.0k · $4.85M volume · 370 trades · since Oct 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$882.8k
Open P&L · 53 positions
−$1.05M
Closed-position win rate
88%
50 closed
Wallet age · markets
364d
101 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -37.0 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x208927…