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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.1 wins, so it did +31.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+31.3 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.1
Flagged volume
$2.34M
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1.14M
Last 30 days +$0 · $6.64M volume · 1,008 trades · since Oct 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.14M
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
62%
96 closed
Wallet age · markets
363d
95 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 2.1 | +31.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Seahawks vs. Patriots | MED BUY Seahawks @ 68¢ | $646.6k | called |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 69¢ | $24.9k | called |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | HIGH BUY Seahawks @ 69¢ | $1.67M 2.6× usual |
called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1d8a37…