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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -69.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-69.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$93.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$36.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $309.6k volume · 21 trades · since Apr 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$14.0k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$49.9k
Closed-position win rate
50%
2 closed
Wallet age · markets
183d
3 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.4 | -69.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | MED BUY Top Esports @ 68¢ | $10.6k | missed |
| LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | MED BUY Top Esports @ 70¢ | $14.8k | missed |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 32¢ | $32.3k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 33¢ | $35.4k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1b355d…