← Wallets
−$13No · avg 96.2¢ → 91.5¢ · $262+$52No · avg 72¢ → 96.6¢ · $203−$22No · avg 87¢ → 78¢ · $203+$7No · avg 58¢ → 61¢ · $145+$133Yes · avg 0¢ → 55¢ · $133+$114Yes · avg 0¢ → 21¢ · $114+$26No · avg 53¢ → 84¢ · $69+$32No · avg 49¢ → 96.8¢ · $64
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.8 wins, so it did +5.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+5.6 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.8
Flagged volume
$318.8k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±13.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$26.0k
Last 30 days +$2 · $24.86M volume · 26,047 trades · since Nov 25, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$856.2k
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$66.8k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
333d
6722 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 3 | 3 | 2.8 | +5.6 pts |
History
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