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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -38.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-38.4 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$161.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$42.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $587.1k volume · 29 trades · since May 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$97.3k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$137.2k
Closed-position win rate
78%
9 closed
Wallet age · markets
147d
10 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.8 | -38.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $19.3k | missed |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | MED BUY Yes @ 39¢ | $117.4k 4.8× usual |
missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x118c53…