← Wallets
+$35.1kNo · avg 80¢ → 97.1¢ · $199.1k+$5,006No · avg 89¢ → 97.7¢ · $57.5k+$2,410No · avg 83¢ → 95¢ · $19.0k+$578No · avg 85¢ → 97.5¢ · $4,508+$7Nothing · avg 93¢ → 97¢ · $160+$5No · avg 68¢ → 70¢ · $146
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +10.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+10.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$74.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±30.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1.07M
Last 30 days +$130.5k · $5.01M volume · 4,349 trades · since Oct 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.07M
Open P&L · 13 positions
+$3,798
Closed-position win rate
80%
117 closed
Wallet age · markets
724d
127 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +10.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $54.0k | called |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1057e7…