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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +6.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+6.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$422.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$122.6k
Last 30 days +$291 · $1.29M volume · 230 trades · since Jun 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$144.9k
Open P&L · 13 positions
−$21.7k
Closed-position win rate
85%
66 closed
Wallet age · markets
116d
77 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +6.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 91.4¢ | $45.0k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 87¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | MED BUY England @ 93.9¢ | $120.0k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | MED BUY Argentina @ 86¢ | $122.0k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | MED BUY Argentina @ 94¢ | $115.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0b0642…