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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did +22.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+22.5 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$113.1k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$86.6k
Last 30 days −$21.9k · $3.05M volume · 1,238 trades · since Aug 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$312.7k
Open P&L · 29 positions
−$360.5k
Closed-position win rate
81%
43 closed
Wallet age · markets
59d
72 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 1.3 | +22.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | LOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 42¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 23¢ | $10.6k | called |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW BUY Frances Tiafoe @ 59¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
 Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | MED BUY Spirit @ 67¢ | $62.5k 3.1× usual |
called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0a5392…