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ewelmealt

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did -53.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-53.0 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$254.7k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$282.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $8.62M volume · 9,071 trades · since Feb 21, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$2.27M
Open P&L · 49 positions
−$1.98M
Closed-position win rate
100%
44 closed
Wallet age · markets
245d
93 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports301.6-53.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ $27.5k50% 154d agomissed
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5MED BUY Over @ 51¢ $110.3k51% 201d agomissed
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?MED BUY No @ 58¢ $102.3k58% 201d agomissed
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?LOW BUY No @ 61¢ $14.6k61% 203d agoexcluded

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