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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did -53.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-53.0 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$254.7k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$282.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $8.62M volume · 9,071 trades · since Feb 21, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$2.27M
Open P&L · 49 positions
−$1.98M
Closed-position win rate
100%
44 closed
Wallet age · markets
245d
93 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 0 | 1.6 | -53.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $27.5k | missed | |
| MED BUY Over @ 51¢ | $110.3k | missed | |
| MED BUY No @ 58¢ | $102.3k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 61¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x07921379f7b31ef93da634b688b2fe36897db778"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x07921379f7b31ef93da634b688b2fe36897db778.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x079213…