← Wallets
+$698No · avg 65¢ → 76¢ · $4,594+$879Yes · avg 67¢ → 95.5¢ · $2,913 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$17Lorenzo Musetti · avg 45¢ → 44¢ · $2,904+$271Yes · avg 72¢ → 86¢ · $1,715 · 1 proven with, 0 against+$83No · avg 91.7¢ → 96.5¢ · $1,654+$206Under · avg 57¢ → 70¢ · $1,128+$206SV 07 Elversberg · avg 65¢ → 80¢ · $1,126 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$59Over · avg 74¢ → 70¢ · $1,097
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +32.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+32.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$111.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$996.1k
Last 30 days +$67.0k · $88.74M volume · 856,333 trades · since Jan 22, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$5.52M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$3.03M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
275d
32488 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +32.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Seahawks vs. Patriots | MED BUY Seahawks @ 68¢ | $111.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x01c78f…