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What this means. A wallet put $17.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?pending
$17.4k
SELL Yes @ 9¢ · 192,809 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet dromedaryy took Yes (sell) for $17.4k at an average 9¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
9¢
Implied odds
91.0%
Size
$17.4k
Placed
Oct 23, 02:26 EDT
Market close
Dec 31, 23:59 EST
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
dromedaryy
Tx
0x6ed57181…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+16.7 pts
expected 0.8 from price

Price since this bet

Since entry +0.5 pts
Yes price · entry 9¢ · now 8.5¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
4¢9¢14¢ Whale entry 9¢ · $17.4k WHALE $17.4K @ 9¢ +0 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $11.9k91% SquirrelTheMerchant2d agopending
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?MED BUY No @ 91¢ $32.6k91% MisTKy PROVEN4d agopending