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What this means. A wallet put $32.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$32.6k
BUY No @ 91¢ · 35,830 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took No (buy) for $32.6k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market hasn't resolved yet.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $32.6k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 91.0%
- Size
- $32.6k
- Placed
- Oct 20, 14:52 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 23:59 EST
- Result
- pending
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x65aea6e0…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsNo price · entry 91¢ · now 90.5¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | LOW SELL Yes @ 9¢ | $17.4k | pending |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $11.9k | pending |