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What this means. A wallet put $109.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$109.9k
BUY No @ 98.4¢ · 111,738 shares in 6 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite6 fills in 1hProven wallet4.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $109.9k at an average 98.4¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $109.9k+2
Near-certain price-2
6 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.4¢
- Implied odds
- 98.4%
- Size
- $109.9k
- Placed
- Jul 06, 10:10 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x533f00a9…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 98.4¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain? | LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain? | LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain? | LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $50.8k | excluded |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $11.4k | excluded |