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What this means. A wallet put $64.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$64.0k
BUY No @ 88¢ · 72,714 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hProven wallet2.4× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $64.0k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $64.0k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 88¢ means
88%chance the market gave
−733American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 88.0%
- Size
- $64.0k
- Placed
- Jul 05, 13:34 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 05, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x167a01ba…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +12 ptsNo price · entry 88¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway? | MED BUY No @ 88¢ | $69.8k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway? | MED BUY No @ 88¢ | $48.9k | called |