← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $25.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 24% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.0k
SELL Yes @ 76¢ · 32,923 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet CDAP1 took Yes (sell) for $25.0k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 24% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $25.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 76¢
- Implied odds
- 23.9%
- Size
- $25.0k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 10:40 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 09, 18:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- CDAP1
- Tx
- 0xdead2953…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-15.5 pts
expected 0.3 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry +2.1 ptsYes price · entry 76¢ · now 74¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.