← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.9k
SELL Yes @ 21¢ · 75,444 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took Yes (sell) for $15.9k at an average 21¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.9k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 21¢
- Implied odds
- 79.0%
- Size
- $15.9k
- Placed
- Oct 20, 23:10 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 23:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x63468219…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry -2.5 ptsYes price · entry 21¢ · now 24¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.