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What this means. A wallet put $101.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 14% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -17.8 pts vs the price over 20 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$101.5k
SELL No @ 86¢ · 118,035 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)3.6× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet aenews2 took No (sell) for $101.5k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 14% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $101.5k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 14.0%
- Size
- $101.5k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 03:05 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 23:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aenews2
- Tx
- 0x2d1c40fb…
This wallet's graded record
12/20-17.8 pts
expected 15.6 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry +1.5 ptsNo price · entry 86¢ · now 84¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.