← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
BUY No @ 88¢ · 14,359 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took No (buy) for $12.6k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 88¢ means
88%chance the market gave
−733American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 88.0%
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Oct 20, 15:54 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 23:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x0cca9bb9…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsNo price · entry 88¢ · now 88¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $10.1k | pending |