← Wallets
−$522Yes · avg 38¢ → 36¢ · $12.8k−$297Daegu Pegasus · avg 40¢ → 38¢ · $7,892+$293Thiago Agustin Tirante · avg 57¢ → 60¢ · $5,992+$152Over · avg 53¢ → 55¢ · $5,529+$42Yes · avg 49¢ → 52¢ · $630+$12Yes · avg 34¢ → 36¢ · $281
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +35.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+35.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$10.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±47.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$18.1k
Last 30 days +$10.9k · $210.5k volume · 517 trades · since Oct 23, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$21.8k
Open P&L · 15 positions
−$41.2k
Closed-position win rate
75%
4 closed
Wallet age · markets
1d
19 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +35.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik | MED BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 65¢ | $10.7k | called |
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