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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -10.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-10.3 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$31.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$61.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.30M volume · 401 trades · since May 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$58.8k
Open P&L · 16 positions
−$2,225
Closed-position win rate
56%
85 closed
Wallet age · markets
164d
94 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | -10.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY England @ 48¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 10¢ | $10.6k | missed |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 10¢ | $10.5k | missed |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xef345e0bbaec663c4de545cb7828f349017b2065"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xef345e0bbaec663c4de545cb7828f349017b2065.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xef345e…