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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -89.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-89.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$42.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$26.4k
Last 30 days −$2,338 · $494.6k volume · 690 trades · since Dec 10, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$27.5k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$1,069
Closed-position win rate
85%
217 closed
Wallet age · markets
318d
218 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -89.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 89¢ | $16.5k | missed |
| France vs. England: O/U 6.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 90.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 92¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xed9fbd…